Search results for " Bayesian methods"

showing 4 items of 4 documents

Bayesian Checking of the Second Levels of Hierarchical Models

2007

Hierarchical models are increasingly used in many applications. Along with this increased use comes a desire to investigate whether the model is compatible with the observed data. Bayesian methods are well suited to eliminate the many (nuisance) parameters in these complicated models; in this paper we investigate Bayesian methods for model checking. Since we contemplate model checking as a preliminary, exploratory analysis, we concentrate on objective Bayesian methods in which careful specification of an informative prior distribution is avoided. Numerous examples are given and different proposals are investigated and critically compared.

FOS: Computer and information sciencesStatistics and ProbabilityModel checkingModel checkingComputer scienceconflictGeneral MathematicsBayesian probabilityMachine learningcomputer.software_genreMethodology (stat.ME)partial posterior predictivePrior probabilityStatistics - Methodologybusiness.industrymodel criticismProbability and statisticsExploratory analysisobjective Bayesian methodsempirical-Bayesposterior predictivep-valuesArtificial intelligenceStatistics Probability and Uncertaintybusinesscomputer
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Hierarchical Bayesian models for analysing fish biomass data. An application to Parapenaeus longirostris biomass data

2022

The Mediterranean International Trawl Survey (MEDITS) programme provides spatially referenced ecological data. We adopted a hierarchical Bayesian model to analyse Parapenaeus longirostris biomass data. The model comprises three parts, each of which identifies: the variability due to the explanatory variables, the variability due to the spatial domain (seen as a Gaussian Process) and the irregular component modelled as white noise. The estimated parameters show that some seabed characteristics affect biomass quantity and that the estimated behaviour of the Gaussian Process changes over different groups of years.

Gaussian Processes Bayesian methods spatial analysis latent variables.Settore SECS-S/01 - Statistica
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Analysing the mediating role of a network: a Bayesian latent space approach

2020

The use of network analysis for the investigation of social structures has recently seen a rise, due both to the high availability of data and to the numerous insights it can provide into different fields. Most analyses focus on the topological characteristics of networks and the estimation of relationships between the nodes. We adopt a different point of view, by considering the whole network as a random variable conveying the effect of an exposure on a response. This point of view represents a classical mediation setting, where the interest lies in the estimation of the indirect effect, that is, the effect propagated through the mediating variable. We introduce a latent space model mappin…

Network analysis Bayesian methods mediation analysis longitudinal data latent space modelSettore SECS-S/01 - Statistica
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Bayesian causal mediation analysis through linear mixed-effect models

2022

In mediational settings, the main focus is on the estimation of the indirect effect of an exposure on an outcome through a third variable called mediator. The traditional maximum likelihood estimation method presents several problems in the estimation of the standard error and the confidence interval of the indirect effect. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian approach to obtain the posterior distribution of the indirect effect through MCMC, in the context of mediational mixed models for longitudinal data. A simulation study shows that our method outperforms the traditional maximum likelihood approach in terms of bias and coverage rates.

longitudinal mediation analysis mixed effect models Bayesian methods causal inferenceSettore SECS-S/01 - Statistica
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